Tennis · Challenger Jingshan · 29/09, 05:00
Prediction: Marat Sharipov vs Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
Team pages: Marat Sharipov · Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
Prediction summary
Winner
Marat Sharipov
Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Marat Sharipov
8-2 (W-L)
Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Marat Sharipov
1–0
Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
(1 last)
- 18 Sept2-0 12-0W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marat Sharipov 1637 · Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong 1583
| Marat Sharipov | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marat Sharipov (rating 1637 vs 1583).
- Marat Sharipov dominates on serve: 11.4 aces and 41.9% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Marat Sharipov 1–0 Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong (1).
Statistics
| Marat Sharipov | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 90% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-0.3 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.5-9.1 | 12.1-9.5 |
| Aces | 11.4 | 5.9 |
| Double faults | 1.2 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 83.4% | 75.1% |
| Break % | 41.9% | 51.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
H2H · Marat Sharipov 1 – 0 Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Marat Sharipov 1–0 Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09/25 M25 Guiyang | 2-0 | 12-0 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marat Sharipov
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Naoya Honda Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/09 | Pavel Kotov Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/09 | Petr Bar Biryukov Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/09 | Elias Ymer Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/09 | Lloyd Harris Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 15/09 | Thomas Fancutt Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/09 | Ilya Ivashka Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 12/09 | Pavel Kotov Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/09 | Omar Jasika Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 09/09 | Taro Daniel Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Thomas Fancutt Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 18/09 | Petr Bar Biryukov Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 17/09 | James Trotter Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/09 | Sergey Fomin Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/09 | Ye Hongyu Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 08/09 | Omar Jasika Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Takeru Yuzuki Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 05/09 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 03/09 | Koki Matsuda Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/09 | Petr Bar Biryukov Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marat Sharipov vs Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong?
Our model gives 69% to Marat Sharipov, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.