Tennis · Challenger Jingshan · 30/09, 04:00
Prediction: Matthew Dellavedova vs Andre Ilagan
Team pages: Matthew Dellavedova · Andre Ilagan
Prediction summary
Winner
Matthew Dellavedova
Andre Ilagan
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Matthew Dellavedova
5-5 (W-L)
Andre Ilagan
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Matthew Dellavedova
0–2
Andre Ilagan
(2 last)
- 14 Mar0-2 7-13L
- 11 Jan0-2 3-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matthew Dellavedova 1483 · Andre Ilagan 1500
| Matthew Dellavedova | Andre Ilagan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Matthew Dellavedova 0–2 Andre Ilagan (2).
Statistics
| Matthew Dellavedova | Andre Ilagan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.2-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-9.8 | 12.3-12.5 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 6.4 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 64.1% | 68.8% |
| Break % | 44.7% | 33.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
H2H · Matthew Dellavedova 0 – 2 Andre Ilagan (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Matthew Dellavedova 0–2 Andre Ilagan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/03/26 M15 Maanshan | 0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 11/01/26 Challenger Nonthaburi | 0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matthew Dellavedova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Fajing Sun ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 18/09 | Hunter Heck Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Enzo Aguiard Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/09 | Grigoriy Lomakin Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 07/09 | Taro Daniel Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 30/08 | Kuan-Shou Chen M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 29/08 | Kasidit Samrej M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/08 | Kristjan Tamm M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/08 | Tai Leonard Sach M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Andre Ilagan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Petr Bar Biryukov ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 15/09 | Bryce Nakashima Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
1-2 | 18-20 | L |
| 26/08 | Hugo Gaston US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Tristan Boyer US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 16/08 | Lloyd Harris Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/08 | Jack Pinnington Jones Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/08 | Tristan Schoolkate Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 11/08 | Andres Martin Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 09/08 | Edas Butvilas Challenger Lexington · Hard |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 08/08 | Spencer Johnson Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matthew Dellavedova vs Andre Ilagan?
Our model gives 59% to Andre Ilagan, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.