Tennis · Challenger Jingshan · 30/09, 04:00
Prediction: Bernard Tomic vs Fajing Sun
Team pages: Bernard Tomic · Fajing Sun
Prediction summary
Winner
Bernard Tomic
Fajing Sun
Estimated games
24.3
Recent form · 10 last
Bernard Tomic
5-5 (W-L)
Fajing Sun
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Bernard Tomic
0–1
Fajing Sun
(1 last)
- 23 Sept0-2 9-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bernard Tomic 1566 · Fajing Sun 1524
| Bernard Tomic | Fajing Sun | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bernard Tomic (rating 1566 vs 1524).
- Head-to-head: Bernard Tomic 0–1 Fajing Sun (1).
Statistics
| Bernard Tomic | Fajing Sun | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-10.9 | 12.1-12.8 |
| Aces | 8.7 | 4.2 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 0.9 |
| 1st serve % | 77.4% | 69% |
| Break % | 34.8% | 37% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.3
H2H · Bernard Tomic 0 – 1 Fajing Sun (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bernard Tomic 0–1 Fajing Sun
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09/26 ATP Hangzhou | 0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bernard Tomic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Fajing Sun ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/09 | Rigele Te ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 19/09 | Pavel Kotov Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 18/09 | Alexandr Binda Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/09 | Jake Delaney Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/09 | Yuta Kikuchi Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 10/09 | Ilya Ivashka Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 08/09 | Akira Santillan Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 03/09 | Kasidit Samrej Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 01/09 | Masamichi Imamura Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
Fajing Sun
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Roman Safiullin ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Bernard Tomic ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/09 | Matthew Dellavedova ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 17/09 | Alexandr Binda Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 15/09 | Alexis Galarneau Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 08/09 | Jie Cui Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 04/09 | Chun Hsin Tseng Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Hanyi Liu Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 31/08 | Tung-Lin Wu Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 14/08 | Hayato Matsuoka Challenger Astana · Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bernard Tomic vs Fajing Sun?
Our model gives 60% to Bernard Tomic, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.