Tennis · Challenger Jingshan · 30/09, 04:00
Prediction: James McCabe vs Federico Cina
Team pages: James McCabe · Federico Cina
Prediction summary
Winner
James McCabe
Federico Cina
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
James McCabe
2-8 (W-L)
Federico Cina
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · James McCabe 1404 · Federico Cina 1477
| James McCabe | Federico Cina | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Federico Cina (rating 1404 vs 1477).
- Federico Cina is in better form: 40% recent wins.
Statistics
| James McCabe | Federico Cina | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 17% (6) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.5-1.8 | 0.9-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-14 | 10.4-12.2 |
| Aces | 5.9 | 4.6 |
| Double faults | 3 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 71.7% | 66.7% |
| Break % | 16.1% | 32.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
James McCabe
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Lukas Neumayer US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Noah Zamora M25 East Lansing |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 04/08 | Dusan Lajovic Challenger Lexington · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 25/07 | Alex Bolt ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 21/07 | Duncan Chan Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 16/07 | Bernard Tomic Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Masamichi Imamura Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 08/07 | Jason Jung Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Roman Safiullin Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/06 | Remy Bertola Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Federico Cina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Alexandre Muller ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 24/09 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/09 | Nikoloz Basilashvili ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Kaichi Uchida ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/09 | James Trotter Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Alex Michelsen US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 5-18 | L |
| 28/08 | Bu Yunchaokete US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 27/08 | Hugo Dellien US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 13/08 | Tristan Schoolkate Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 05/08 | Abedallah Shelbayh Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in James McCabe vs Federico Cina?
Our model gives 67% to Federico Cina, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.