Tennis · Challenger Jingshan · 30/09, 04:00
Prediction: Arthur Weber vs Yanki Erel
Team pages: Arthur Weber · Yanki Erel
Prediction summary
Winner
Arthur Weber
Yanki Erel
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Arthur Weber
7-3 (W-L)
Yanki Erel
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Arthur Weber 1544 · Yanki Erel 1528
| Arthur Weber | Yanki Erel | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Arthur Weber | Yanki Erel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.6 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-7.1 | 11-9.1 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 5.3 |
| Double faults | 1 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 72.7% | 75.2% |
| Break % | 53.7% | 37.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Arthur Weber
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Hayato Matsuoka ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/09 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Koki Matsuda Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/09 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 12/09 | Yuta Shimizu Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 11/09 | Filip Peliwo Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 10/09 | Tai Leonard Sach Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 08/09 | Tran Quoc Cuong Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 06/09 | Moerani Bouzige M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 05/09 | Thantub Suksumrarn M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Yanki Erel
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Francisco Cerundolo Davis Cup |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Jay Friend Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 10/09 | Radu Albot Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/09 | Timofey Skatov Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 05/09 | Ryuki Matsuda M25 Urayasu |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 04/09 | Keisuke Saitoh M25 Urayasu |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 03/09 | Yuto Oki M25 Urayasu |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/09 | Kousuke Ogura M25 Urayasu |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 28/08 | Luca Castelnuovo M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Hikaru Shiraishi M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Arthur Weber vs Yanki Erel?
Our model gives 57% to Yanki Erel, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.