Tennis · Challenger Jingshan · 28/09, 04:00
Prediction: Omar Jasika vs Chase Ferguson
Team pages: Omar Jasika · Chase Ferguson
Prediction summary
Winner
Omar Jasika
Chase Ferguson
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Omar Jasika
6-4 (W-L)
Chase Ferguson
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Omar Jasika
1–0
Chase Ferguson
(1 last)
- 20 Feb2-0 13-10W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Omar Jasika 1522 · Chase Ferguson 1524
| Omar Jasika | Chase Ferguson | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Omar Jasika 1–0 Chase Ferguson (1).
Statistics
| Omar Jasika | Chase Ferguson | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.8 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-8.6 | 12.2-10.7 |
| Aces | 2 | 2 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 69.5% | 69.5% |
| Break % | 39.2% | 51.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
H2H · Omar Jasika 1 – 0 Chase Ferguson (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Omar Jasika 1–0 Chase Ferguson
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/02/25 M25 Burnie | 2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Omar Jasika
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Alex Bolt ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Marat Sharipov Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Rio Noguchi Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 08/09 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/09 | Yaojie Zeng Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/09 | Akira Santillan Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Filip Peliwo Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/08 | Aoran Wang Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 27/08 | Kuan-Shou Chen M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Kousuke Ogura M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Chase Ferguson
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Alibek Kachmazov M25 Yinchuan |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Nino Ehrenschneider M25 Yinchuan |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 19/09 | Yunseong Chung M25 Guiyang |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/09 | Sheng Tang M25 Guiyang |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/09 | Zhenxiong Dong M25 Guiyang |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 16/09 | Minghui Zhang M25 Guiyang |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 12/09 | Jerry Roddick M25 Sapporo |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 11/09 | Sanhui Shin M25 Sapporo |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 10/09 | Yuki Mochizuki M25 Sapporo |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/09 | Riku Takahata M25 Sapporo |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Omar Jasika vs Chase Ferguson?
Our model gives 61% to Omar Jasika, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.