Tennis · Challenger Jingshan · 28/09, 05:00
Prediction: Thomas Fancutt vs Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
Team pages: Thomas Fancutt · Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
Prediction summary
Winner
Thomas Fancutt
Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Thomas Fancutt
6-4 (W-L)
Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Thomas Fancutt 1491 · Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong 1549
| Thomas Fancutt | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong (rating 1491 vs 1549).
- Thomas Fancutt dominates on serve: 6.8 aces and 45.3% break avg.
Statistics
| Thomas Fancutt | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (8) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-10.3 | 12.1-9.2 |
| Aces | 6.8 | 4.9 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 76.7% | 74.4% |
| Break % | 45.3% | 53.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Thomas Fancutt
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Marat Sharipov Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/09 | James Trotter Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Zijiang Yang Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 26/08 | Luis Guto Miguel Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Karl Poling Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/08 | Bruno Kuzuhara Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 23/08 | Enmanuel Munoz Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/08 | Karl Poling M25 East Lansing |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 11/08 | Lincoln Battle M25 East Lansing |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/07 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Petr Bar Biryukov Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 17/09 | James Trotter Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/09 | Sergey Fomin Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/09 | Ye Hongyu Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 08/09 | Omar Jasika Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Takeru Yuzuki Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 05/09 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 03/09 | Koki Matsuda Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/09 | Petr Bar Biryukov Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 31/08 | Dominik Palan Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Thomas Fancutt vs Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong?
Our model gives 63% to Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.