Tennis · Challenger Jingshan · 28/09, 10:00
Prediction: Aleksandar Vukic vs Ryan Seggerman
Team pages: Aleksandar Vukic · Ryan Seggerman
Prediction summary
Winner
Aleksandar Vukic
Ryan Seggerman
Estimated games
24.1
Recent form · 10 last
Aleksandar Vukic
6-4 (W-L)
Ryan Seggerman
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aleksandar Vukic 1499 · Ryan Seggerman 1507
| Aleksandar Vukic | Ryan Seggerman | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Ryan Seggerman dominates on serve: 13.2 aces and 40.9% break avg.
- Note: Ryan Seggerman makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Aleksandar Vukic | Ryan Seggerman | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.3 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.3-13.7 | 12.6-12 |
| Aces | 10 | 13.2 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 76.9% | 78.1% |
| Break % | 38.7% | 40.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aleksandar Vukic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Kyrian Jacquet ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 31/08 | Rei Sakamoto US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 25-27 | L |
| 20/08 | Stefanos Sakellaridis Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Kyrian Jacquet Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 13/08 | Mark Lajal ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 13/08 | Darwin Blanch ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/08 | Daniel Altmaier ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 01/08 | Tomas Barrios Vera ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/07 | Lorenzo Musetti ATP Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 27/07 | Zachary Svajda ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Ryan Seggerman
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Mitchell Krueger Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 15/09 | Aidan Mayo Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 14/09 | Alex Rybakov Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/09 | Andrew Fenty Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 22/08 | Abedallah Shelbayh ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 17/08 | Gauthier Onclin Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Patrick Brady Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 05/07 | Ali Habib Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/06 | Laslo Djere Challenger Parma · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 16/06 | Luca Wiedenmann Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aleksandar Vukic vs Ryan Seggerman?
Our model gives 62% to Aleksandar Vukic, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.