Tennis · Challenger Jingshan · 28/09, 08:30
Prediction: Mattia Bellucci vs Filip Peliwo
Team pages: Mattia Bellucci · Filip Peliwo
Prediction summary
Winner
Mattia Bellucci
Filip Peliwo
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Mattia Bellucci
5-5 (W-L)
Filip Peliwo
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mattia Bellucci 1461 · Filip Peliwo 1555
| Mattia Bellucci | Filip Peliwo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 91% | 9% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Filip Peliwo (rating 1461 vs 1555).
- Filip Peliwo is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Mattia Bellucci | Filip Peliwo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 38% (8) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.6 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-13.8 | 11.1-9.6 |
| Aces | 7.8 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 73% | 73.8% |
| Break % | 23.6% | 32.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mattia Bellucci
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Kamil Majchrzak ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Taylor Fritz US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 2-18 | L |
| 01/09 | Zsombor Piros US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 18-6 | W |
| 25/08 | Luciano Darderi ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 23/08 | Martin Landaluce ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 15/08 | Jakub Mensik ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 17-16 | L |
| 14/08 | Zachary Svajda ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 04/08 | Sebastian Baez ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Ugo Humbert ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 18/06 | Raphael Collignon ATP Halle · Grass |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
Filip Peliwo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Kuan-Shou Chen M25 Yinchuan |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Enzo Aguiard M25 Yinchuan |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/09 | Xing Dao Chen M25 Yinchuan |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 15/09 | Tai Leonard Sach Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 14/09 | Sam Ryan Ziegann Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/09 | Arjun Rathi Challenger Phan Thiet Qual · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/09 | Arthur Weber Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 10/09 | Kenta Miyoshi Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/09 | Grigoriy Lomakin Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 31/08 | Omar Jasika Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mattia Bellucci vs Filip Peliwo?
Our model gives 66% to Mattia Bellucci, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.