Tennis · ATP Hangzhou · 27/09, 10:30
Prediction: Roman Safiullin vs Bu Yunchaokete
Team pages: Roman Safiullin · Bu Yunchaokete
Prediction summary
Winner
Roman Safiullin
Bu Yunchaokete
Estimated games
24.5Bet365 line 24.5
Recent form · 10 last
Roman Safiullin
5-5 (W-L)
Bu Yunchaokete
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Roman Safiullin 1521 · Bu Yunchaokete 1538
| Roman Safiullin | Bu Yunchaokete | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Bu Yunchaokete dominates on serve: 6.9 aces and 53.6% break avg.
Statistics
| Roman Safiullin | Bu Yunchaokete | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 57% (7) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-1.3 | 1.5-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.9-12.9 | 13.1-11.7 |
| Aces | 5.5 | 6.9 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 73.4% | 78.1% |
| Break % | 43.7% | 53.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.5 · Bet365 line 24.5
Over 24.5: 50% · 1.83
Under 24.5: 50% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Roman Safiullin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Quentin Halys ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 24/09 | Fajing Sun ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 31/08 | Carlos Alcaraz Garfia US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 12-18 | L |
| 25/08 | Hugo Grenier ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 21/08 | Hubert Hurkacz Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/08 | Stan Wawrinka Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/08 | Sebastian Ofner Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/07 | Novak Djokovic Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 18-22 | L |
| 03/07 | Joao Fonseca Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 18-9 | W |
| 01/07 | Botic Van De Zandschulp Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 26-21 | W |
Bu Yunchaokete
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Kamil Majchrzak ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 24/09 | Michael Zheng ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/09 | Michael Zheng US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 14-20 | L |
| 02/09 | Rafael Jodar US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 18-4 | W |
| 28/08 | Federico Cina US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 26/08 | Borna Gojo US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 25/08 | Rio Noguchi US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 18/08 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Quentin Halys ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Francesco Maestrelli ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Roman Safiullin vs Bu Yunchaokete?
Our model gives 51% to Bu Yunchaokete, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.