Tennis · ATP Hangzhou · 27/09, 07:30
Prediction: Fabian Marozsan vs Kyrian Jacquet
Team pages: Fabian Marozsan · Kyrian Jacquet
Prediction summary
Winner
Fabian Marozsan
Kyrian Jacquet
Estimated games
23.3Bet365 line 23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Fabian Marozsan
6-4 (W-L)
Kyrian Jacquet
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Fabian Marozsan 1522 · Kyrian Jacquet 1535
| Fabian Marozsan | Kyrian Jacquet | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 57% | 43% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Fabian Marozsan | Kyrian Jacquet | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 56% (9) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.1 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.3-12.5 | 12-11.1 |
| Aces | 4.7 | 5.5 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 69.3% | 72.3% |
| Break % | 42.6% | 28.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3 · Bet365 line 23.5
Over 23.5: 48% · 1.83
Under 23.5: 52% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fabian Marozsan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Taro Daniel ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 20-18 | W |
| 24/09 | Alex Bolt ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/09 | Louis Van Herck Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 02/09 | Michael Zheng US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 10-18 | L |
| 28/08 | James Duckworth ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 27/08 | Martin Damm ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 26/08 | Miomir Kecmanovic ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/08 | Michael Zheng ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 05/08 | Matteo Arnaldi ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 04/08 | Shintaro Mochizuki ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Kyrian Jacquet
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Tomas Martin Etcheverry ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/09 | Aleksandar Vukic ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 26/08 | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 24/08 | Lautaro Midon US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/08 | Aleksandar Vukic Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/08 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/08 | Billy Harris ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/08 | Gabriel Diallo ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 01/08 | Alexander Shevchenko ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fabian Marozsan vs Kyrian Jacquet?
Our model gives 53% to Fabian Marozsan, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.