Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · 01/10, 20:00
Prediction: Marika Jones vs Patrycja Niewiadomska
Team pages: Marika Jones · Patrycja Niewiadomska
Prediction summary
Winner
Marika Jones
Patrycja Niewiadomska
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Marika Jones
4-6 (W-L)
Patrycja Niewiadomska
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marika Jones 1461 · Patrycja Niewiadomska 1459
| Marika Jones | Patrycja Niewiadomska | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Marika Jones makes many double faults (5.5/match).
Statistics
| Marika Jones | Patrycja Niewiadomska | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 30% (10) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.4 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.6-10.8 | 9.6-10.9 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 5.5 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 48.8% | 54.9% |
| Break % | 54.3% | 55.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marika Jones
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Gala Arangio UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 29/09 | Norah Davoodi UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/09 | Mingyue Deng UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/06 | Emily Robertson UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Emma Tutoveanu UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 24/06 | Lucia Donnelly UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 23/06 | Anastasia Grechkina UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Sophie Suh W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Sofia Thorne W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/05 | Jana Stojanova UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Patrycja Niewiadomska
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Mingyue Deng UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/09 | Veronika Miroshnichenko UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/09 | Monika Wojcik UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Addy Rogin UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 09/09 | Avery Olsen UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/09 | Nicole Okhtenberg UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 06/09 | Michaela Laki UTR Pro Miami Women · Hard |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 05/09 | Mayu Crossley UTR Pro Miami Women · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 04/09 | Jaquelyn Ogunwale UTR Pro Miami Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Katsiaryna Starastsenka UTR Pro Miami Women · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marika Jones vs Patrycja Niewiadomska?
Our model gives 61% to Patrycja Niewiadomska, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.