Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · 02/10, 20:00
Prediction: Gala Arangio vs Patrycja Niewiadomska
Team pages: Gala Arangio · Patrycja Niewiadomska
Prediction summary
Winner
Gala Arangio
Patrycja Niewiadomska
Estimated games
19.7
Recent form · 10 last
Gala Arangio
3-7 (W-L)
Patrycja Niewiadomska
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gala Arangio 1447 · Patrycja Niewiadomska 1457
| Gala Arangio | Patrycja Niewiadomska | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Patrycja Niewiadomska makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Gala Arangio | Patrycja Niewiadomska | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 30% (10) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.4 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.9-10.4 | 9-11 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 49.3% | 54% |
| Break % | 39.3% | 53.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gala Arangio
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Norah Davoodi UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/09 | Marika Jones UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 29/09 | Mingyue Deng UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/07 | Catherine Walker UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/07 | Ariana Morris UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 24/07 | Mia Soso UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Kiana Smith UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 18/07 | Isabelle Nguyen UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/07 | Charlotte Kim UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/06 | Alexandra Wolf UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Patrycja Niewiadomska
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Marika Jones UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 7-16 | L |
| 30/09 | Mingyue Deng UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/09 | Veronika Miroshnichenko UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/09 | Monika Wojcik UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Addy Rogin UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 09/09 | Avery Olsen UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/09 | Nicole Okhtenberg UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 06/09 | Michaela Laki UTR Pro Miami Women · Hard |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 05/09 | Mayu Crossley UTR Pro Miami Women · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 04/09 | Jaquelyn Ogunwale UTR Pro Miami Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gala Arangio vs Patrycja Niewiadomska?
Our model gives 67% to Patrycja Niewiadomska, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.