Tennis · M25 Sabadell · 24/09, 10:00
Prediction: Ivan Gakhov vs Oscar Jose Gutierrez
Team pages: Ivan Gakhov · Oscar Jose Gutierrez
Prediction summary
Winner
Ivan Gakhov
Oscar Jose Gutierrez
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Ivan Gakhov
7-3 (W-L)
Oscar Jose Gutierrez
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ivan Gakhov 1524 · Oscar Jose Gutierrez 1454
| Ivan Gakhov | Oscar Jose Gutierrez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ivan Gakhov (rating 1524 vs 1454).
- Ivan Gakhov is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Oscar Jose Gutierrez makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Ivan Gakhov | Oscar Jose Gutierrez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (5) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 0.7-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-11.3 | 10.4-12.3 |
| Aces | 3.8 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 67.9% | 65.1% |
| Break % | 50.1% | 30.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ivan Gakhov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Xavi Palomar M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/09 | Zdenek Kolar Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 14/09 | Dali Blanch Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 13/09 | Oliwier Sterniczuk Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/09 | Oleg Prihodko Challenger Tulln · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 28/08 | Alexander Ritschard M25 Oviedo |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 27/08 | Yanaki Milev M25 Oviedo |
2-1 | 16-17 | W |
| 26/08 | Samuel De Felipe Garcia M25 Oviedo |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/08 | Enrique Carrascosa Diaz M25 Oviedo |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 19/08 | Ignacio Parisca Romera M25 Santander |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Oscar Jose Gutierrez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Bernardo Munk Mesa M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 13/09 | Santiago Rodriguez Taverna Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 09/09 | Juan Ignacio Gallego M25 Gijon |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 08/09 | Asier Meneses Perny M25 Gijon |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/08 | Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka M15 Cap d'Agde |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/08 | Carlos Sanchez Jover M25 Santander |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Ivan Iutkin M25 Santander |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 09/08 | Tom Zeuch Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Marko Topo Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/07 | Pedro Rodenas M25 Denia |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ivan Gakhov vs Oscar Jose Gutierrez?
Our model gives 67% to Ivan Gakhov, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.