Tennis · ATP Hangzhou · 26/09, 07:30
Prediction: Coleman Wong vs Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Team pages: Coleman Wong · Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Prediction summary
Winner
Coleman Wong
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Estimated games
23Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Coleman Wong
8-2 (W-L)
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Coleman Wong 1571 · Adolfo Daniel Vallejo 1482
| Coleman Wong | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 60% | 40% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Coleman Wong (rating 1571 vs 1482).
- Coleman Wong is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Coleman Wong makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Coleman Wong | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.9 | 1.1-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-11.6 | 11.4-13.2 |
| Aces | 11.3 | 4 |
| Double faults | 4.7 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 77.6% | 70.5% |
| Break % | 36.1% | 42.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +1.5
Over 21.5: 60% · 1.83
Under 21.5: 40% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Coleman Wong
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Zhizhen Zhang ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/08 | Tommy Paul US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 14-24 | L |
| 27/08 | Dusan Lajovic US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/08 | Lukas Neumayer US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/08 | Elmer Moller US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 22/08 | Sebastian Baez Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/08 | Alan Magadan Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
| 19/08 | Alexandre Muller Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/08 | Daniel Altmaier ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 13/08 | Otto Virtanen ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Jie Cui ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 19/09 | Ignacio Buse Davis Cup |
2-1 | 19-18 | W |
| 19/09 | Juan Pablo Varillas Davis Cup |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 02/09 | Gael Monfils US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 9-20 | L |
| 25/08 | Botic Van De Zandschulp ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Tommy Paul ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 15/08 | Valentin Vacherot ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/08 | Kyrian Jacquet ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/08 | Juncheng Shang ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Kilian Feldbausch ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Coleman Wong vs Adolfo Daniel Vallejo?
Our model gives 61% to Coleman Wong, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.