Tennis · ATP Hangzhou · 26/09, 07:30
Prediction: Quentin Halys vs Roman Safiullin
Team pages: Quentin Halys · Roman Safiullin
Prediction summary
Winner
Quentin Halys
Roman Safiullin
Estimated games
27.1Bet365 line 23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Quentin Halys
7-3 (W-L)
Roman Safiullin
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Quentin Halys
1–1
Roman Safiullin
(2 last)
- 26 Feb2-1 19-17W
- 14 Feb1-2 11-15L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Quentin Halys 1527 · Roman Safiullin 1506
| Quentin Halys | Roman Safiullin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 45% | 55% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Quentin Halys dominates on serve: 13.7 aces and 48.6% break avg.
- Note: Quentin Halys makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Quentin Halys | Roman Safiullin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 57% (7) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-1.1 | 1.7-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 16.5-14.6 | 16-14.1 |
| Aces | 13.7 | 5.8 |
| Double faults | 4.8 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 82.5% | 74.1% |
| Break % | 48.6% | 42% |
Estimated total games (ours)
27.1 · Bet365 line 23.5 · +3.6
Over 23.5: 74% · 1.90
Under 23.5: 26% · 1.80
H2H · Quentin Halys 1 – 1 Roman Safiullin (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Quentin Halys 1–1 Roman Safiullin
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/02/22 Challenger Pau | 2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 14/02/20 Challenger Cherbourg | 1-2 | 11-15 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Quentin Halys
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Felix Auger Aliassime Davis Cup |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 04/09 | Alexander Zverev US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 26-29 | L |
| 01/09 | Facundo Diaz Acosta US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 25-17 | W |
| 25/08 | Benjamin Bonzi ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 15/08 | Alex De Minaur ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 14/08 | Vit Kopriva ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 13/08 | Bu Yunchaokete ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/08 | Soonwoo Kwon ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 25/07 | Alexander Bublik ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 24/07 | Yannick Hanfmann ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Roman Safiullin
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Fajing Sun ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 31/08 | Carlos Alcaraz Garfia US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 12-18 | L |
| 25/08 | Hugo Grenier ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 21/08 | Hubert Hurkacz Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/08 | Stan Wawrinka Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/08 | Sebastian Ofner Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/07 | Novak Djokovic Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 18-22 | L |
| 03/07 | Joao Fonseca Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 18-9 | W |
| 01/07 | Botic Van De Zandschulp Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 26-21 | W |
| 29/06 | Andrey Rublev Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 28-26 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Quentin Halys vs Roman Safiullin?
Our model gives 51% to Roman Safiullin, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.