Tennis · ATP Hangzhou · 26/09, 07:00
Prediction: Bu Yunchaokete vs Kamil Majchrzak
Team pages: Bu Yunchaokete · Kamil Majchrzak
Prediction summary
Winner
Bu Yunchaokete
Kamil Majchrzak
Estimated games
23.3Bet365 line 24.5
Recent form · 10 last
Bu Yunchaokete
6-4 (W-L)
Kamil Majchrzak
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bu Yunchaokete 1528 · Kamil Majchrzak 1475
| Bu Yunchaokete | Kamil Majchrzak | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bu Yunchaokete (rating 1528 vs 1475).
- Bu Yunchaokete dominates on serve: 6.1 aces and 54% break avg.
Statistics
| Bu Yunchaokete | Kamil Majchrzak | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.2 | 1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-11.7 | 11.7-12.4 |
| Aces | 6.1 | 6.8 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 77.8% | 70.1% |
| Break % | 54% | 38.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3 · Bet365 line 24.5 · -1.2
Over 24.5: 41% · 1.83
Under 24.5: 59% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bu Yunchaokete
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Michael Zheng ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/09 | Michael Zheng US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 14-20 | L |
| 02/09 | Rafael Jodar US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 18-4 | W |
| 28/08 | Federico Cina US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 26/08 | Borna Gojo US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 25/08 | Rio Noguchi US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 18/08 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Quentin Halys ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Francesco Maestrelli ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 19/07 | Mark Lajal Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
Kamil Majchrzak
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Mattia Bellucci ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/09 | Alex De Minaur Davis Cup |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/09 | James Duckworth Davis Cup |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 03/09 | Valentin Vacherot US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 18-23 | L |
| 30/08 | Hamad Medjedovic US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 18-9 | W |
| 24/08 | Benjamin Bonzi ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 14/08 | Christopher O'Connell ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Gael Monfils ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Taylor Fritz ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Tommy Paul ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bu Yunchaokete vs Kamil Majchrzak?
Our model gives 53% to Bu Yunchaokete, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.