Tennis · ATP Hangzhou · 26/09, 07:00
Prediction: Rinky Hijikata vs Andrey Rublev
Team pages: Rinky Hijikata · Andrey Rublev
Prediction summary
Winner
Rinky Hijikata
Andrey Rublev
Estimated games
25.3Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Rinky Hijikata
4-6 (W-L)
Andrey Rublev
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rinky Hijikata 1503 · Andrey Rublev 1498
| Rinky Hijikata | Andrey Rublev | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Rinky Hijikata | Andrey Rublev | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 1.6-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-13.4 | 15-12.4 |
| Aces | 3.6 | 8.6 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 63.7% | 76.8% |
| Break % | 34.8% | 39.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.3 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +3.8
Over 21.5: 75% · 1.83
Under 21.5: 25% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rinky Hijikata
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Dalibor Svrcina ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 01/09 | Felix Auger Aliassime US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 19-24 | L |
| 26/08 | Benjamin Bonzi ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Raphael Collignon ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
| 24/08 | Darwin Blanch ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 18/08 | Jakub Mensik ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/08 | Luciano Darderi ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/08 | Gael Monfils ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 02/08 | Jaume Munar ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Denis Shapovalov ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
Andrey Rublev
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Daniel Merida Aguilar US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 17-24 | L |
| 31/08 | Otto Virtanen US Open · Hard |
3-2 | 31-22 | W |
| 18/08 | Nuno Borges ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Pablo Carreno Busta ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 04/08 | Juncheng Shang ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 24/07 | Luca Van Assche ATP Estoril · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 23/07 | Timofey Skatov ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 19/07 | Luciano Darderi ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/07 | Alejandro Tabilo ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 17/07 | Sebastian Baez ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rinky Hijikata vs Andrey Rublev?
Our model gives 62% to Andrey Rublev, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.