Tennis · M25 Pardubice · 24/09, 09:30
Prediction: Sebastian Dominko vs Marko Bekeni
Team pages: Sebastian Dominko · Marko Bekeni
Prediction summary
Winner
Sebastian Dominko
Marko Bekeni
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Sebastian Dominko
8-2 (W-L)
Marko Bekeni
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sebastian Dominko 1614 · Marko Bekeni 1471
| Sebastian Dominko | Marko Bekeni | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 69% | 31% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sebastian Dominko (rating 1614 vs 1471).
- Sebastian Dominko dominates on serve: 8.3 aces and 60.3% break avg.
- Sebastian Dominko is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Note: Marko Bekeni makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Sebastian Dominko | Marko Bekeni | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 29% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.5 | 1.3-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-9 | 11.9-12.1 |
| Aces | 8.3 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 78% | 63.1% |
| Break % | 60.3% | 41.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sebastian Dominko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Petr Michnev M25 Pardubice |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 19/09 | Ben Weintraub Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/09 | Clement Chidekh M25 Plaisir |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Nikola Slavic M25 Plaisir |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 10/09 | Remy Dugardin M25 Plaisir |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/09 | Loann Massard M25 Plaisir |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/08 | Samuele Pieri M25 Maribor |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 29/08 | Filip Jeff Planinsek M25 Maribor |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/08 | Dimitar Kuzmanov M25 Maribor |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 27/08 | Stefan Popovic M25 Maribor |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Marko Bekeni
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Sebastian Heinrich M25 Pardubice |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 22/09 | Benedikt Szerencsits M25 Pardubice |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 25/08 | Edison Ambarzumjan M15 Allershausen |
1-2 | 7-14 | L |
| 09/07 | Semen Pankin M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 02/07 | Ilya Snitari M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 30/06 | Aleksandar Lavrnja M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/06 | Branko Djuric M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 16/06 | Aleksandar Daskalovic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/06 | Akira Santillan Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 31/05 | Daniel Dutra Da Silva Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sebastian Dominko vs Marko Bekeni?
Our model gives 80% to Sebastian Dominko, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.