Tennis · M25 Pardubice · 26/09, 13:00

Prediction: Jiri Cizek vs Sebastian Dominko

Team pages: Jiri Cizek · Sebastian Dominko

Prediction summary
Winner
23% 77%
Jiri Cizek Sebastian Dominko
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Jiri Cizek 6-4 (W-L)
WLLWLLWWWW
Sebastian Dominko 8-2 (W-L)
WLWWWLWWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Jiri Cizek 1503 · Sebastian Dominko 1611
Jiri CizekSebastian Dominko
Our model35%65%
Market13%87%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sebastian Dominko (rating 1503 vs 1611).
  • Sebastian Dominko dominates on serve: 8.2 aces and 63.5% break avg.
  • Sebastian Dominko is in better form: 90% recent wins.

Statistics

Jiri CizekSebastian Dominko
Win %50%90%
Win % · Clay 33% (3) –
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.31.8-0.4
Games (G-P)10.8-11.711.9-8.4
Aces4.98.2
Double faults2.72.9
1st serve %71%77%
Break %41.7%63.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jiri Cizek

LLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
26/09 Claus Piening
M25 Pardubice
2-1 16-13 W
25/09 Petros Tsitsipas
M25 Pardubice
2-1 17-15 W
22/09 Dominik Dujka
M25 Pardubice
2-0 12-3 W
25/08 Gerard Campana Lee
M25 Poznan
1-2 9-15 L
16/08 Norbert Gombos
Challenger Prague · Clay
0-2 9-13 L
04/08 Joel Schwaerzler
Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
02/08 Menelaos Efstathiou
Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard
2-1 14-13 W
21/07 Patrick Jozwicki
M25 Ollersbach
0-2 7-13 L
06/07 Alexander Donski
Challenger Iasi · Clay
0-2 7-13 L
05/07 Dragos Nicolae Cazacu
Challenger Iasi · Clay
2-0 13-7 W

Sebastian Dominko

LWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
26/09 Rudolf Molleker
M25 Pardubice
2-0 13-8 W
24/09 Marko Bekeni
M25 Pardubice
2-0 12-2 W
23/09 Petr Michnev
M25 Pardubice
2-1 15-14 W
19/09 Ben Weintraub
Davis Cup
2-0 12-6 W
12/09 Clement Chidekh
M25 Plaisir
0-2 2-12 L
11/09 Nikola Slavic
M25 Plaisir
2-0 13-8 W
10/09 Remy Dugardin
M25 Plaisir
2-0 12-7 W
08/09 Loann Massard
M25 Plaisir
2-0 12-7 W
30/08 Samuele Pieri
M25 Maribor
2-1 16-13 W
29/08 Filip Jeff Planinsek
M25 Maribor
2-0 12-7 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jiri Cizek vs Sebastian Dominko?

Our model gives 77% to Sebastian Dominko, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.