Tennis · M25 Pardubice · 26/09, 10:00

Prediction: Rudolf Molleker vs Sebastian Dominko

Team pages: Rudolf Molleker · Sebastian Dominko

Prediction summary
Winner
41% 59%
Rudolf Molleker Sebastian Dominko
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Rudolf Molleker 7-3 (W-L)
WWWLLLWWWW
Sebastian Dominko 8-2 (W-L)
WWLWWWLWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Rudolf Molleker 1513 · Sebastian Dominko 1607
Rudolf MollekerSebastian Dominko
Our model37%63%
Market44%56%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sebastian Dominko (rating 1513 vs 1607).
  • Rudolf Molleker dominates on serve: 6.3 aces and 49% break avg.
  • Sebastian Dominko dominates on serve: 8.1 aces and 62.5% break avg.
  • Sebastian Dominko is in better form: 90% recent wins.

Statistics

Rudolf MollekerSebastian Dominko
Win %60%90%
Win % · Clay 50% (8) –
Sets (G-P)1.4-0.81.8-0.5
Games (G-P)12.2-8.812.4-8.9
Aces6.38.1
Double faults3.13
1st serve %76%77.8%
Break %49%62.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Rudolf Molleker

LWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
24/09 Heorhii Shylov
M25 Pardubice
2-0 12-7 W
23/09 Benedikt Szerencsits
M25 Pardubice
2-0 13-9 W
14/09 Tiago Pereira
Challenger Szczecin · Clay
1-2 16-15 L
13/09 Bogdan Pavel
Challenger Szczecin · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
06/09 Svyatoslav Gulin
Challenger Tulln · Clay
0-2 11-14 L
30/08 Svyatoslav Gulin
Challenger Como · Clay
1-2 12-13 L
19/08 Filip Cristian Jianu
Challenger Prague · Clay
0-2 10-13 L
18/08 Matias Soto
Challenger Prague · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
17/08 Jakub Paul
Challenger Prague · Clay
2-0 12-1 W
16/08 Aleksandr Braynin
Challenger Prague · Clay
2-0 12-4 W

Sebastian Dominko

WLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
24/09 Marko Bekeni
M25 Pardubice
2-0 12-2 W
23/09 Petr Michnev
M25 Pardubice
2-1 15-14 W
19/09 Ben Weintraub
Davis Cup
2-0 12-6 W
12/09 Clement Chidekh
M25 Plaisir
0-2 2-12 L
11/09 Nikola Slavic
M25 Plaisir
2-0 13-8 W
10/09 Remy Dugardin
M25 Plaisir
2-0 12-7 W
08/09 Loann Massard
M25 Plaisir
2-0 12-7 W
30/08 Samuele Pieri
M25 Maribor
2-1 16-13 W
29/08 Filip Jeff Planinsek
M25 Maribor
2-0 12-7 W
28/08 Dimitar Kuzmanov
M25 Maribor
2-1 18-13 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Rudolf Molleker vs Sebastian Dominko?

Our model gives 59% to Sebastian Dominko, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.