Tennis · M25 Pardubice · 26/09, 10:00
Prediction: Stepan Baum vs Matyas Cerny
Team pages: Stepan Baum · Matyas Cerny
Prediction summary
Winner
Stepan Baum
Matyas Cerny
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Stepan Baum
9-1 (W-L)
Matyas Cerny
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Stepan Baum
1–0
Matyas Cerny
(1 last)
- 20 Mar2-0 13-8W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Stepan Baum 1608 · Matyas Cerny 1509
| Stepan Baum | Matyas Cerny | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stepan Baum (rating 1608 vs 1509).
- Stepan Baum is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Stepan Baum 1–0 Matyas Cerny (1).
Statistics
| Stepan Baum | Matyas Cerny | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 100% (6) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.4 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-6.4 | 11-10.4 |
| Aces | 1 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 58.8% | 66.7% |
| Break % | 77.5% | 38.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
H2H · Stepan Baum 1 – 0 Matyas Cerny (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Stepan Baum 1–0 Matyas Cerny
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/03/24 UTR Pro Olomouc | 2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stepan Baum
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Sebastian Sorger M25 Pardubice |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 22/09 | Martin Soukal M25 Pardubice |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/09 | Dominik Recek UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/09 | Thiago Pernas UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/09 | Karim Al-Amin UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 17/09 | Yan Sabanin UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 15/09 | Sebastian Prechtel UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 14/09 | Felix Einig UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 29/08 | John Sperle M15 Pecs |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Filip Drab M15 Pecs |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Matyas Cerny
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | David Petrofsky M25 Pardubice |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 22/09 | Filip Jeff Planinsek M25 Pardubice |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 14/09 | Johan Nikles Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Filip Misolic Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 28/08 | Daniel Michalski M25 Poznan |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Karol Filar M25 Poznan |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 26/08 | Milosz Sroka M25 Poznan |
2-0 | 11-0 | W |
| 17/08 | Radu Mihai Papoe Challenger Prague · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Dusan Obradovic Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/07 | Norbert Gombos Challenger Liberec · Clay |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stepan Baum vs Matyas Cerny?
Our model gives 54% to Matyas Cerny, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.