Tennis · Challenger Saint-Tropez · 24/09, 10:00
Prediction: Billy Harris vs Murphy Cassone
Team pages: Billy Harris · Murphy Cassone
Prediction summary
Winner
Billy Harris
Murphy Cassone
Estimated games
23.3
Recent form · 10 last
Billy Harris
6-4 (W-L)
Murphy Cassone
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Billy Harris 1505 · Murphy Cassone 1578
| Billy Harris | Murphy Cassone | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Murphy Cassone (rating 1505 vs 1578).
- Note: Billy Harris makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Billy Harris | Murphy Cassone | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 88% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.6-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-11.7 | 13.6-11.2 |
| Aces | 4.3 | 5.3 |
| Double faults | 4.4 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 65.1% | 75.4% |
| Break % | 38.1% | 55.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Billy Harris
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 14/09 | Ugo Blanchet Challenger Rennes · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 10/09 | Moez Echargui Challenger Cassis · Hard |
1-2 | 17-15 | L |
| 07/09 | Hugo Grenier Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/09 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Manacor · Hard |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
| 03/09 | Jay Friend Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/09 | Hugo Grenier Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 26/08 | Toby Samuel US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 24/08 | Gonzalo Bueno US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/08 | Kyrian Jacquet ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Murphy Cassone
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Clement Tabur Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 21/09 | Patrick Zahraj Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 20/09 | Hugo Car Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/09 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/07 | Arthur Gea Challenger Granby · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Philip Sekulic Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/07 | Blaise Bicknell Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 14/07 | Tristan Schoolkate Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 08/07 | Darwin Blanch Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Ethan Quinn ATP Mallorca · Grass |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Billy Harris vs Murphy Cassone?
Our model gives 57% to Murphy Cassone, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.