Tennis · Challenger Saint-Tropez · 25/09, 10:00
Prediction: Titouan Droguet vs Mark Lajal
Team pages: Titouan Droguet · Mark Lajal
Prediction summary
Winner
Titouan Droguet
Mark Lajal
Estimated games
23.7
Recent form · 10 last
Titouan Droguet
5-5 (W-L)
Mark Lajal
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Titouan Droguet
1–0
Mark Lajal
(1 last)
- 13 Sept2-0 13-10W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Titouan Droguet 1644 · Mark Lajal 1599
| Titouan Droguet | Mark Lajal | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Titouan Droguet (rating 1644 vs 1599).
- Titouan Droguet dominates on serve: 9.4 aces and 40.3% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Titouan Droguet 1–0 Mark Lajal (1).
Statistics
| Titouan Droguet | Mark Lajal | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 90% (10) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-0.8 | 1.6-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 15.4-12.4 | 13.1-9 |
| Aces | 9.4 | 5.4 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 74.6% | 74.7% |
| Break % | 40.3% | 53.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.7
H2H · Titouan Droguet 1 – 0 Mark Lajal (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Titouan Droguet 1–0 Mark Lajal
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09/26 Challenger Cassis | 2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Titouan Droguet
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Borna Gojo Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 22/09 | Karl Poling Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 19/09 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Rennes · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 18/09 | Borna Gojo Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 17/09 | Daniel Rincon Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 16/09 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 13/09 | Mark Lajal Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 12/09 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 11/09 | Daniil Glinka Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 09/09 | Gijs Brouwer Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Mark Lajal
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Thomas Faurel Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/09 | David Goffin Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/09 | Titouan Droguet Challenger Cassis · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 12/09 | Daniel Masur Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 11/09 | Robin Bertrand Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/09 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 08/09 | Lenny Couturier Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/09 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 04/09 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/09 | Ivan Ivanov Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Titouan Droguet vs Mark Lajal?
Our model gives 55% to Titouan Droguet, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.