Tennis · M25 Sabadell · 24/09, 10:00
Prediction: Pedro Rodenas vs Ioannis Xilas
Team pages: Pedro Rodenas · Ioannis Xilas
Prediction summary
Winner
Pedro Rodenas
Ioannis Xilas
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Pedro Rodenas
7-3 (W-L)
Ioannis Xilas
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pedro Rodenas 1580 · Ioannis Xilas 1532
| Pedro Rodenas | Ioannis Xilas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pedro Rodenas (rating 1580 vs 1532).
- Note: Pedro Rodenas makes many double faults (4.4/match).
- Note: Ioannis Xilas makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Pedro Rodenas | Ioannis Xilas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 100% (1) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.2-9.7 | 12.1-10.6 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 4.4 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 67.2% | 63.5% |
| Break % | 40% | 52.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pedro Rodenas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Michiel de Krom M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 05/09 | Martin Van Der Meerschen M15 Madrid |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 04/09 | Alejandro Garcia M15 Madrid |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/09 | Nikola Djukic Valera M15 Madrid |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 02/09 | Sergi Fita Juan M15 Madrid |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/08 | Sergi Perez Contri M25 Oviedo |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 27/08 | Pedro Vives Marcos M25 Oviedo |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 26/08 | Alejandro Garcia M25 Oviedo |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 25/08 | Maxi Carrascosa Diaz M25 Oviedo |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/08 | Alejandro Juan Mano M25 Santander |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
Ioannis Xilas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Leonardo Borrelli M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 12/09 | Max Houkes M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 11/09 | Jack Loge M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 10/09 | Reda El Aouni M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/09 | Idriss Haddouch M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 23/07 | Filip Jeff Planinsek M25 Ollersbach |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 21/07 | Lukas Pokorny M25 Ollersbach |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/07 | Hugo Dellien Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Matthew William Donald M25 Kassel |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 09/07 | Lasse Poertner M25 Kassel |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pedro Rodenas vs Ioannis Xilas?
Our model gives 56% to Pedro Rodenas, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.