Tennis · M25 Sabadell · 24/09, 09:00
Prediction: Luka Talan Lopatic vs Pedro Vives Marcos
Team pages: Luka Talan Lopatic · Pedro Vives Marcos
Prediction summary
Winner
Luka Talan Lopatic
Pedro Vives Marcos
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Luka Talan Lopatic
5-5 (W-L)
Pedro Vives Marcos
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Luka Talan Lopatic 1508 · Pedro Vives Marcos 1555
| Luka Talan Lopatic | Pedro Vives Marcos | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 17% | 83% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pedro Vives Marcos (rating 1508 vs 1555).
Statistics
| Luka Talan Lopatic | Pedro Vives Marcos | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (5) | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-10.6 | 13-11.3 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 3 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 62% | 69.9% |
| Break % | 48.1% | 36.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Luka Talan Lopatic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Roberto Perez Socas M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/08 | Alexander Wagner M15 Mistelbach |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Sergio Callejon Hernando M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Tomas Quesada Perez M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 03/08 | Junxiong Dong M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/07 | Ignacio Parisca Romera M15 Xativa |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 17/07 | Javier Barranco Cosano M25 Gandia |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Manuel Belda M25 Gandia |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/07 | Carlos Lopez Montagud M25 Gandia |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 11/07 | Cezar Gabriel Papoe M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
Pedro Vives Marcos
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Tim Handel M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/09 | Carlos Sanchez Jover Challenger Seville · Clay |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 06/09 | Imanol Lopez Morillo Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/09 | Hugo Dellien Challenger Porto · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/09 | Alejandro Moro Canas Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 03/09 | Niels Visker Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 01/09 | Eduardo Ribeiro Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 30/08 | Joao Silva Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 27/08 | Pedro Rodenas M25 Oviedo |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Bernardo Munk Mesa M25 Oviedo |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Luka Talan Lopatic vs Pedro Vives Marcos?
Our model gives 71% to Pedro Vives Marcos, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.