Tennis · ATP Hangzhou · 24/09, 08:30
Prediction: Rinky Hijikata vs Dalibor Svrcina
Team pages: Rinky Hijikata · Dalibor Svrcina
Prediction summary
Winner
Rinky Hijikata
Dalibor Svrcina
Estimated games
25.1Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Rinky Hijikata
3-7 (W-L)
Dalibor Svrcina
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Rinky Hijikata
2–0
Dalibor Svrcina
(2 last)
- 15 Feb2-0 12-7W
- 06 Oct2-1 16-11W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rinky Hijikata 1497 · Dalibor Svrcina 1525
| Rinky Hijikata | Dalibor Svrcina | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 43% | 57% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Rinky Hijikata 2–0 Dalibor Svrcina (2).
- Note: Dalibor Svrcina makes many double faults (7.3/match).
Statistics
| Rinky Hijikata | Dalibor Svrcina | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 44% (9) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.6 | 1.6-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.1-15.1 | 15.1-13.2 |
| Aces | 3.9 | 5.3 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 7.3 |
| 1st serve % | 64% | 68.9% |
| Break % | 33.3% | 46.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.1 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +3.6
Over 21.5: 73% · 1.80
Under 21.5: 27% · 1.90
H2H · Rinky Hijikata 2 – 0 Dalibor Svrcina (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Rinky Hijikata 2–0 Dalibor Svrcina
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/02/26 ATP Delray Beach | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/10/22 Challenger Gwangju | 2-1 | 16-11 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rinky Hijikata
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Felix Auger Aliassime US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 19-24 | L |
| 26/08 | Benjamin Bonzi ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Raphael Collignon ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
| 24/08 | Darwin Blanch ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 18/08 | Jakub Mensik ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/08 | Luciano Darderi ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/08 | Gael Monfils ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 02/08 | Jaume Munar ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Denis Shapovalov ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 30/06 | Jesper De Jong Wimbledon · Grass |
2-3 | 26-27 | L |
Dalibor Svrcina
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Rio Noguchi ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/09 | Philip Sekulic ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/09 | Luciano Darderi US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 18-24 | L |
| 31/08 | Valentin Royer US Open · Hard |
3-2 | 28-23 | W |
| 28/08 | Mackenzie McDonald US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 26/08 | Alexis Galarneau US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/08 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/08 | Stan Wawrinka Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 13/08 | Mark Lajal ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 01/08 | Titouan Droguet ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rinky Hijikata vs Dalibor Svrcina?
Our model gives 56% to Dalibor Svrcina, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.