Tennis · ATP Hangzhou · 24/09, 11:30
Prediction: Fajing Sun vs Roman Safiullin
Team pages: Fajing Sun · Roman Safiullin
Prediction summary
Winner
Fajing Sun
Roman Safiullin
Estimated games
27.2Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Fajing Sun
4-6 (W-L)
Roman Safiullin
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Fajing Sun
0–1
Roman Safiullin
(1 last)
- 16 Apr0-2 6-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Fajing Sun 1530 · Roman Safiullin 1492
| Fajing Sun | Roman Safiullin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 24% | 76% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Fajing Sun 0–1 Roman Safiullin (1).
Statistics
| Fajing Sun | Roman Safiullin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.8-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.6-13.1 | 17.5-16.7 |
| Aces | 4.3 | 5.9 |
| Double faults | 1.1 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 69.9% | 71.9% |
| Break % | 40.6% | 38.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
27.2 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +5.7
Over 21.5: 84% · 1.83
Under 21.5: 16% · 1.83
H2H · Fajing Sun 0 – 1 Roman Safiullin (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Fajing Sun 0–1 Roman Safiullin
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/04/18 ITF Uzbekistan F1 | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fajing Sun
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Bernard Tomic ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/09 | Matthew Dellavedova ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 17/09 | Alexandr Binda Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 15/09 | Alexis Galarneau Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 08/09 | Jie Cui Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 04/09 | Chun Hsin Tseng Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Hanyi Liu Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 31/08 | Tung-Lin Wu Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 14/08 | Hayato Matsuoka Challenger Astana · Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 12/08 | Semen Pankin Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
Roman Safiullin
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Carlos Alcaraz Garfia US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 12-18 | L |
| 25/08 | Hugo Grenier ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 21/08 | Hubert Hurkacz Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/08 | Stan Wawrinka Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/08 | Sebastian Ofner Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/07 | Novak Djokovic Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 18-22 | L |
| 03/07 | Joao Fonseca Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 18-9 | W |
| 01/07 | Botic Van De Zandschulp Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 26-21 | W |
| 29/06 | Andrey Rublev Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 28-26 | W |
| 25/06 | Jerome Kym Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 27-28 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fajing Sun vs Roman Safiullin?
Our model gives 62% to Roman Safiullin, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.