Tennis · WTA Tolentino · 24/09, 10:00
Prediction: Samira De Stefano vs Oksana Selekhmeteva
Team pages: Samira De Stefano · Oksana Selekhmeteva
Prediction summary
Winner
Samira De Stefano
Oksana Selekhmeteva
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Samira De Stefano
6-4 (W-L)
Oksana Selekhmeteva
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Samira De Stefano 1649 · Oksana Selekhmeteva 1503
| Samira De Stefano | Oksana Selekhmeteva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 70% | 30% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Samira De Stefano (rating 1649 vs 1503).
- Samira De Stefano is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Note: Oksana Selekhmeteva makes many double faults (10.3/match).
Statistics
| Samira De Stefano | Oksana Selekhmeteva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 90% (10) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.6 | 1.2-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-7.8 | 11.9-13.4 |
| Aces | 1 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 10.3 |
| 1st serve % | 66.5% | 61.7% |
| Break % | 55.8% | 38.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Samira De Stefano
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Julie Struplova WTA Tolentino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 20/09 | Mona Barthel WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 19/09 | Laura Samsonova WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 18/09 | Alice Tubello WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 16/09 | Barbora Palicova WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 14/09 | Arantxa Rus WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 08/09 | Eva Vedder WTA Antalya · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Ilay Yoruk WTA Antalya · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 06/09 | Adrienn Nagy WTA Antalya · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/08 | Anja Stankovic W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Oksana Selekhmeteva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | Federica Urgesi WTA Tolentino · Clay |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
| 15/09 | Nastasja Schunk WTA Valencia · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/09 | Kamilla Rakhimova US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Aoi Ito US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/08 | Katie Volynets WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 27/08 | Capucine Jauffret WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 24/08 | Taylah Preston WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 13/08 | Mary Stoiana WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 11/08 | Elizabeth Mandlik WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 01/08 | Aoi Ito WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Samira De Stefano vs Oksana Selekhmeteva?
Our model gives 65% to Samira De Stefano, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.