Tennis · WTA Tolentino · 25/09, 10:00
Prediction: Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Oksana Selekhmeteva
Team pages: Ekaterine Gorgodze · Oksana Selekhmeteva
Prediction summary
Winner
Ekaterine Gorgodze
Oksana Selekhmeteva
Estimated games
23.9
Recent form · 10 last
Ekaterine Gorgodze
6-4 (W-L)
Oksana Selekhmeteva
2-8 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Ekaterine Gorgodze
1–0
Oksana Selekhmeteva
(1 last)
- 08 Oct2-1 15-13W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ekaterine Gorgodze 1565 · Oksana Selekhmeteva 1513
| Ekaterine Gorgodze | Oksana Selekhmeteva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ekaterine Gorgodze (rating 1565 vs 1513).
- Head-to-head: Ekaterine Gorgodze 1–0 Oksana Selekhmeteva (1).
- Note: Oksana Selekhmeteva makes many double faults (9.4/match).
Statistics
| Ekaterine Gorgodze | Oksana Selekhmeteva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (3) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.3-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-12.4 | 12.5-12.6 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 1 | 9.4 |
| 1st serve % | 56.5% | 62.1% |
| Break % | 47.9% | 40.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.9
H2H · Ekaterine Gorgodze 1 – 0 Oksana Selekhmeteva (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ekaterine Gorgodze 1–0 Oksana Selekhmeteva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10/25 WTA Mallorca | 2-1 | 15-13 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ekaterine Gorgodze
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Barbora Palicova WTA Tolentino · Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 22/09 | Laura Pigossi WTA Tolentino · Clay |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 18/09 | Noemi Basiletti WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Lucie Havlickova WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 15/09 | Maria Lourdes Carle WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 27/08 | Gabriela Knutson US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Despina Papamichail US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 24/08 | Katarzyna Kawa US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 09/08 | Hanne Vandewinkel W100 Landisville |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/08 | Caroline Dolehide W100 Landisville |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Oksana Selekhmeteva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Samira De Stefano WTA Tolentino · Clay |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 21/09 | Federica Urgesi WTA Tolentino · Clay |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
| 15/09 | Nastasja Schunk WTA Valencia · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/09 | Kamilla Rakhimova US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Aoi Ito US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/08 | Katie Volynets WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 27/08 | Capucine Jauffret WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 24/08 | Taylah Preston WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 13/08 | Mary Stoiana WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 11/08 | Elizabeth Mandlik WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Oksana Selekhmeteva?
Our model gives 54% to Oksana Selekhmeteva, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.