Tennis · WTA Tolentino · 25/09, 19:30
Prediction: Nuria Brancaccio vs Julia Grabher
Team pages: Nuria Brancaccio · Julia Grabher
Prediction summary
Winner
Nuria Brancaccio
Julia Grabher
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Nuria Brancaccio
5-5 (W-L)
Julia Grabher
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Nuria Brancaccio
1–2
Julia Grabher
(3 last)
- 12 Mar2-1 15-10W
- 10 May1-2 12-15L
- 11 Sept0-2 6-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nuria Brancaccio 1501 · Julia Grabher 1503
| Nuria Brancaccio | Julia Grabher | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Nuria Brancaccio 1–2 Julia Grabher (3).
- Note: Julia Grabher makes many double faults (5.6/match).
Statistics
| Nuria Brancaccio | Julia Grabher | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-11.4 | 11.1-11.7 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 2 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 5.6 |
| 1st serve % | 57.6% | 63.3% |
| Break % | 46.6% | 51.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
H2H · Nuria Brancaccio 1 – 2 Julia Grabher (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nuria Brancaccio 1–2 Julia Grabher
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/03/26 WTA Antalya | 2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 10/05/23 WTA Rome | 1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 11/09/22 WTA Bari | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nuria Brancaccio
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Maria Lourdes Carle WTA Tolentino · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 14/09 | Despina Papamichail WTA Valencia · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Dalma Galfi WTA Montreux · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 07/09 | Francesca Curmi WTA Montreux · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 25/08 | Francesca Jones US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Barbora Palicova W75 Hechingen |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 31/07 | Nastasja Schunk W75 Hechingen |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 29/07 | Cagla Buyukakcay W75 Hechingen |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 25/07 | Mia Ristic W75 Cordenons |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/07 | Martina Trevisan W75 Cordenons |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
Julia Grabher
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Alice Tubello WTA Tolentino · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 22/09 | Jennifer Ruggeri WTA Tolentino · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 31/08 | Sorana Cirstea US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Tereza Valentova WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Fiona Crawley WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/08 | Ashlyn Krueger WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 24/08 | Veronika Erjavec WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
| 11/08 | Robin Montgomery WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 30/07 | Anna Siskova W100 Gran Canaria |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur W100 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nuria Brancaccio vs Julia Grabher?
Our model gives 52% to Julia Grabher, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.