Tennis · WTA Tolentino · 25/09, 11:00
Prediction: Mia Ristic vs Jessica Pieri
Team pages: Mia Ristic · Jessica Pieri
Prediction summary
Winner
Mia Ristic
Jessica Pieri
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Mia Ristic
6-4 (W-L)
Jessica Pieri
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Mia Ristic
1–0
Jessica Pieri
(1 last)
- 07 Jul2-0 12-2W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mia Ristic 1565 · Jessica Pieri 1552
| Mia Ristic | Jessica Pieri | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Mia Ristic 1–0 Jessica Pieri (1).
Statistics
| Mia Ristic | Jessica Pieri | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 71% (7) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-9.7 | 10.5-9.1 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 0.7 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 62.7% | 61.6% |
| Break % | 39.8% | 50.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
H2H · Mia Ristic 1 – 0 Jessica Pieri (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mia Ristic 1–0 Jessica Pieri
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07/26 W75 The Hague | 2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mia Ristic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Noemi Basiletti WTA Tolentino · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 21/09 | Arantxa Rus WTA Tolentino · Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 18/09 | Mona Barthel WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Miriam Bulgaru WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/09 | Martina Colmegna WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 07/09 | Lina Gjorcheska WTA Antalya · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Himeno Sakatsume US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Francisca Jorge US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/08 | Ayana Akli US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 16/08 | Rositsa Dencheva W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Jessica Pieri
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Leyre Romero Gormaz WTA Tolentino · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 22/09 | Ginevra De Angelis WTA Tolentino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 21/09 | Aneta Kucmova WTA Tolentino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/09 | Yana Morderger WTA Tolentino · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 13/09 | Ruth Roura Llaverias WTA Valencia · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Marianne Argyrokastriti W35 Reus · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Valentina Steiner W35 Reus · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/08 | Mina Hodzic W75 Bytom |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/08 | Adrienn Nagy W35 Bistrita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 21/08 | Marie Mettraux W35 Bistrita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mia Ristic vs Jessica Pieri?
Our model gives 65% to Mia Ristic, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.