Tennis · WTA Tolentino · 23/09, 14:30
Prediction: Jessica Pieri vs Leyre Romero Gormaz
Team pages: Jessica Pieri · Leyre Romero Gormaz
Prediction summary
Winner
Jessica Pieri
Leyre Romero Gormaz
Estimated games
23
Recent form · 10 last
Jessica Pieri
6-4 (W-L)
Leyre Romero Gormaz
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Jessica Pieri
1–1
Leyre Romero Gormaz
(2 last)
- 20 Oct0-2 7-13L
- 09 May2-0 12-8W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jessica Pieri 1549 · Leyre Romero Gormaz 1487
| Jessica Pieri | Leyre Romero Gormaz | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jessica Pieri (rating 1549 vs 1487).
- Note: Leyre Romero Gormaz makes many double faults (6.1/match).
Statistics
| Jessica Pieri | Leyre Romero Gormaz | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (9) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.9 | 1.3-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-8.8 | 13.4-13.1 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 6.1 |
| 1st serve % | 60.8% | 59.2% |
| Break % | 48.2% | 54.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23
H2H · Jessica Pieri 1 – 1 Leyre Romero Gormaz (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jessica Pieri 1–1 Leyre Romero Gormaz
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10/21 ITF W25 Seville | 0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 09/05/21 ITF W60 La Bisbal | 2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jessica Pieri
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Ginevra De Angelis WTA Tolentino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 21/09 | Aneta Kucmova WTA Tolentino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/09 | Yana Morderger WTA Tolentino · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 13/09 | Ruth Roura Llaverias WTA Valencia · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Marianne Argyrokastriti W35 Reus · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Valentina Steiner W35 Reus · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/08 | Mina Hodzic W75 Bytom |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/08 | Adrienn Nagy W35 Bistrita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 21/08 | Marie Mettraux W35 Bistrita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 20/08 | Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni W35 Bistrita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Leyre Romero Gormaz
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | Polona Hercog WTA Tolentino · Clay |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 15/09 | Martina Trevisan WTA Valencia · Clay |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 09/09 | Alevtina Ibragimova WTA Antalya · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 07/09 | Berfu Cengiz WTA Antalya · Clay |
2-1 | 20-18 | W |
| 25/08 | Joanna Garland US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 27/07 | Sara Sorribes Tormo WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 23/07 | Oleksandra Oliynykova WTA Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 21/07 | Veronika Erjavec WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/07 | Panna Udvardy WTA Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 13/07 | Zhibek Kulambayeva WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jessica Pieri vs Leyre Romero Gormaz?
Our model gives 62% to Leyre Romero Gormaz, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.