Tennis · M25 Pardubice · 23/09, 12:30
Prediction: Marko Bekeni vs Sebastian Heinrich
Team pages: Sebastian Heinrich
Prediction summary
Winner
Marko Bekeni
Sebastian Heinrich
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Marko Bekeni
6-4 (W-L)
Sebastian Heinrich
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marko Bekeni 1450 · Sebastian Heinrich 1551
| Marko Bekeni | Sebastian Heinrich | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sebastian Heinrich (rating 1450 vs 1551).
- Sebastian Heinrich is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Marko Bekeni makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Marko Bekeni | Sebastian Heinrich | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 25% (8) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.5 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-12.2 | 10.9-10.8 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 4.4 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 60.6% | 56.4% |
| Break % | 44% | 55.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marko Bekeni
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Benedikt Szerencsits M25 Pardubice |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 25/08 | Edison Ambarzumjan M15 Allershausen |
1-2 | 7-14 | L |
| 09/07 | Semen Pankin M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 02/07 | Ilya Snitari M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 30/06 | Aleksandar Lavrnja M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/06 | Branko Djuric M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 16/06 | Aleksandar Daskalovic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/06 | Akira Santillan Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 31/05 | Daniel Dutra Da Silva Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 24/05 | Tomasz Berkieta Challenger Kosice · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Sebastian Heinrich
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Max Frohlich M25 Pardubice |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/08 | Luca Wiedenmann M25 Oldenzaal |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 26/08 | Mac Visser M25 Oldenzaal |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 25/08 | Kylian Collignon M25 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 04/08 | Julian Forer M15 Frankfurt |
2-1 | 12-10 | W |
| 03/08 | Justin Ilic M15 Frankfurt |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 27/07 | Maximilian Todorov M25 Gentofte |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 26/07 | Vincent Jonah Strauch M25 Gentofte |
2-1 | 11-12 | W |
| 15/07 | Richard Antoni M15 Uslar |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Carlos Giraldi M15 Uslar |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marko Bekeni vs Sebastian Heinrich?
Our model gives 58% to Marko Bekeni, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.