Tennis · M25 Pardubice · 23/09, 12:30

Prediction: Petr Michnev vs Sebastian Dominko

Team pages: Petr Michnev · Sebastian Dominko

Prediction summary
Winner
31% 69%
Petr Michnev Sebastian Dominko
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Petr Michnev 6-4 (W-L)
WWLWLWWLLW
Sebastian Dominko 8-2 (W-L)
WWWWLWWWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Petr Michnev 1531 · Sebastian Dominko 1597
Petr MichnevSebastian Dominko
Our model41%59%
Market23%77%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sebastian Dominko (rating 1531 vs 1597).
  • Sebastian Dominko dominates on serve: 7.5 aces and 62% break avg.
  • Sebastian Dominko is in better form: 90% recent wins.

Statistics

Petr MichnevSebastian Dominko
Win %60%90%
Win % · Carpet 75% (4)
Sets (G-P)1.4-0.81.8-0.4
Games (G-P)11.7-8.612.1-7.9
Aces5.37.5
Double faults1.82.9
1st serve %71%79.9%
Break %43.2%62%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Petr Michnev

WWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
22/09 Krystof Kominek
M25 Pardubice
2-0 12-6 W
04/08 Wojciech Marek
M15 Bielsko Biala
0-2 9-13 L
09/07 Leyton Rivera
M15 Lodz
0-2 11-14 L
08/07 Samuele Seghetti
M15 Lodz
2-0 13-9 W
07/07 Beren Tan
M15 Lodz
2-0 12-2 W
24/02 Liam Hignett
M25 Pszczyna · ~Hard
1-2 10-10 L
07/02 Norbert Marosik
UTR Pro Olomouc · Carpet
2-0 13-8 W
04/02 Mikalai Haliak
UTR Pro Olomouc · Carpet
1-2 13-15 L
03/02 David Redondo Pereira
UTR Pro Olomouc · Carpet
2-0 12-2 W
02/02 James McGloughlin
UTR Pro Olomouc · Carpet
2-0 12-7 W

Sebastian Dominko

WWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
19/09 Ben Weintraub
Davis Cup
2-0 12-6 W
12/09 Clement Chidekh
M25 Plaisir
0-2 2-12 L
11/09 Nikola Slavic
M25 Plaisir
2-0 13-8 W
10/09 Remy Dugardin
M25 Plaisir
2-0 12-7 W
08/09 Loann Massard
M25 Plaisir
2-0 12-7 W
30/08 Samuele Pieri
M25 Maribor
2-1 16-13 W
29/08 Filip Jeff Planinsek
M25 Maribor
2-0 12-7 W
28/08 Dimitar Kuzmanov
M25 Maribor
2-1 18-13 W
27/08 Stefan Popovic
M25 Maribor
2-0 12-3 W
26/08 Matic Dimic
M25 Maribor
2-0 12-3 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Petr Michnev vs Sebastian Dominko?

Our model gives 69% to Sebastian Dominko, using surface Elo on carpet.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (carpet) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.