Tennis · M25 Pardubice · 23/09, 12:30
Prediction: Patrik Homola vs Kalin Ivanovski
Team pages: Patrik Homola · Kalin Ivanovski
Prediction summary
Winner
Patrik Homola
Kalin Ivanovski
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Patrik Homola
5-5 (W-L)
Kalin Ivanovski
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Patrik Homola 1509 · Kalin Ivanovski 1565
| Patrik Homola | Kalin Ivanovski | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 11% | 89% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kalin Ivanovski (rating 1509 vs 1565).
- Note: Kalin Ivanovski makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Patrik Homola | Kalin Ivanovski | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 86% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-10.3 | 11.7-10.5 |
| Aces | 1 | 4.1 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 4.5 |
| 1st serve % | 66.8% | 76.7% |
| Break % | 49.1% | 34.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Patrik Homola
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Jan Psota M25 Pardubice |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/09 | Michael Agwi M15 Szczawno |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Jakub Januchowski M15 Szczawno |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
| 01/09 | Juliusz Bienkiewicz M15 Szczawno |
2-1 | 11-12 | W |
| 26/08 | Tim Vaisman M15 Vienna |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 24/08 | Andriy Poritskyy M15 Vienna |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 18/08 | Nikola Keremedchiev M15 Krakow |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Bor Artnak M25 Ollersbach |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Ivan Biletic M25 Ollersbach |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 08/07 | Linus Lagerbohm M15 Lodz |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Kalin Ivanovski
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Ryo Tabata M25 Zlatibor |
1-2 | 7-11 | L |
| 23/07 | Bor Artnak M25 Ollersbach |
0-2 | 4-7 | L |
| 22/07 | Aleksander Chayka M25 Ollersbach |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 05/07 | Vladyslav Orlov M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-9 | W |
| 04/07 | Yanaki Milev M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 03/07 | Alexander Weis M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 02/07 | Liam Delicata M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Andrey Chepelev M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/06 | Khumoyun Sultanov M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 27/06 | Bozo Barun M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Patrik Homola vs Kalin Ivanovski?
Our model gives 75% to Kalin Ivanovski, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.