Tennis · M25 Pardubice · 23/09, 11:00
Prediction: Sebastian Sorger vs Stepan Baum
Team pages: Sebastian Sorger · Stepan Baum
Prediction summary
Winner
Sebastian Sorger
Stepan Baum
Estimated games
19.6
Recent form · 10 last
Sebastian Sorger
10-0 (W-L)
Stepan Baum
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sebastian Sorger 1550 · Stepan Baum 1607
| Sebastian Sorger | Stepan Baum | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 89% | 11% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stepan Baum (rating 1550 vs 1607).
Statistics
| Sebastian Sorger | Stepan Baum | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 90% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (3) | 100% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.6 | 1.8-0.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-7.7 | 11.3-5.7 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 70% | 62.8% |
| Break % | 55.3% | 74% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sebastian Sorger
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Martin Krumich Challenger Tulln · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 03/09 | Valerio Aboian Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 9-18 | L |
| 01/09 | Petr Brunclik Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 29/08 | Samuele Pieri M25 Maribor |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 28/08 | Giuseppe La Vela M25 Maribor |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/08 | Miha Vetrih M25 Maribor |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 26/08 | Jan Kupcic M25 Maribor |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 23/08 | Jonas Gundacker M25 Slovenj Gradec |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/08 | Sebastian Dominko M25 Slovenj Gradec |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/08 | Luca Castagnola M25 Slovenj Gradec |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Stepan Baum
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Martin Soukal M25 Pardubice |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/09 | Dominik Recek UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/09 | Thiago Pernas UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/09 | Karim Al-Amin UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 17/09 | Yan Sabanin UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 15/09 | Sebastian Prechtel UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 14/09 | Felix Einig UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 29/08 | John Sperle M15 Pecs |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Filip Drab M15 Pecs |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/08 | Attila Dominik Boros M15 Pecs |
2-0 | 9-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sebastian Sorger vs Stepan Baum?
Our model gives 68% to Sebastian Sorger, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.