Tennis · WTA Tolentino · 24/09, 10:00
Prediction: Isabella Maria Serban vs Rebeka Masarova
Team pages: Isabella Maria Serban · Rebeka Masarova
Prediction summary
Winner
Isabella Maria Serban
Rebeka Masarova
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Isabella Maria Serban
7-3 (W-L)
Rebeka Masarova
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Isabella Maria Serban 1527 · Rebeka Masarova 1477
| Isabella Maria Serban | Rebeka Masarova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 16% | 84% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Isabella Maria Serban (rating 1527 vs 1477).
- Isabella Maria Serban is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Rebeka Masarova makes many double faults (6.5/match).
Statistics
| Isabella Maria Serban | Rebeka Masarova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (2) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.9 | 0.9-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-9.9 | 11.9-13.8 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 6.3 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 6.5 |
| 1st serve % | 56.4% | 68% |
| Break % | 63.3% | 32.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Isabella Maria Serban
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Aneta Laboutkova WTA Tolentino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 09/09 | Caijsa Wilda Hennemann W35 Reus · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Irene Burillo Escorihuela W75 Leipzig |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Amy Sucha W75 Leipzig |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/08 | Laetitia Pulchartova W75 Leipzig |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/07 | Arantxa Rus W100 Gran Canaria |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Gina Marie Dittmann W100 Gran Canaria |
1-0 | 7-6 | W |
| 27/07 | Sofia Rocchetti W100 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 26/07 | Liv Boulard W100 Gran Canaria |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 21/07 | Kali Supova W100 Amstetten |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
Rebeka Masarova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Lisa Zaar WTA Tolentino · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 17/09 | Alicia Herrero Linana WTA Valencia · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Mina Hodzic WTA Valencia · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 08/09 | Simona Waltert WTA Montreux · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 24/08 | Iryna Shymanovich US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 14/07 | Carole Monnet WTA Athens · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 08/07 | Francesca Curmi WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Julia Grabher WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 23/06 | Jil Teichmann Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Katerina Siniakova WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Isabella Maria Serban vs Rebeka Masarova?
Our model gives 66% to Rebeka Masarova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.