Tennis · M25 Sabadell · 23/09, 10:00
Prediction: Ivan Gakhov vs Xavi Palomar
Team pages: Ivan Gakhov · Xavi Palomar
Prediction summary
Winner
Ivan Gakhov
Xavi Palomar
Estimated games
23.1
Recent form · 10 last
Ivan Gakhov
7-3 (W-L)
Xavi Palomar
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ivan Gakhov 1496 · Xavi Palomar 1528
| Ivan Gakhov | Xavi Palomar | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 87% | 13% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Xavi Palomar makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Ivan Gakhov | Xavi Palomar | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (5) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.3 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-12.6 | 11.4-10.3 |
| Aces | 4.7 | 0.2 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 68.7% | 61% |
| Break % | 48.1% | 53.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ivan Gakhov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Zdenek Kolar Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 14/09 | Dali Blanch Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 13/09 | Oliwier Sterniczuk Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/09 | Oleg Prihodko Challenger Tulln · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 28/08 | Alexander Ritschard M25 Oviedo |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 27/08 | Yanaki Milev M25 Oviedo |
2-1 | 16-17 | W |
| 26/08 | Samuel De Felipe Garcia M25 Oviedo |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/08 | Enrique Carrascosa Diaz M25 Oviedo |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 19/08 | Ignacio Parisca Romera M25 Santander |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 02/08 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger Hagen · Clay |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
Xavi Palomar
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Noah Regas M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/09 | Anas Mazdrashki M25 Gijon |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 09/09 | Tristan McCormick M25 Gijon |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 08/09 | Vicente Alcaraz Galbis M25 Gijon |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/09 | Alejandro Garcia M15 Madrid |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 25/08 | Samuel De Felipe Garcia M25 Oviedo |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 24/08 | Pavel Petrov M25 Oviedo |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/08 | Alvaro De Miguel Montero M25 Oviedo |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 18/08 | Ignacio Parisca Romera M25 Santander |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 17/08 | Marc Ros Mesas M25 Santander |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ivan Gakhov vs Xavi Palomar?
Our model gives 68% to Ivan Gakhov, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.