Tennis · M25 Sabadell · 23/09, 10:00
Prediction: Alejandro Garcia vs Luis Garcia Paez
Team pages: Alejandro Garcia · Luis Garcia Paez
Prediction summary
Winner
Alejandro Garcia
Luis Garcia Paez
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Alejandro Garcia
5-5 (W-L)
Luis Garcia Paez
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Alejandro Garcia
1–0
Luis Garcia Paez
(1 last)
- 10 Sept2-1 26-24W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alejandro Garcia 1543 · Luis Garcia Paez 1502
| Alejandro Garcia | Luis Garcia Paez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alejandro Garcia (rating 1543 vs 1502).
- Head-to-head: Alejandro Garcia 1–0 Luis Garcia Paez (1).
Statistics
| Alejandro Garcia | Luis Garcia Paez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 100% (1) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-8.5 | 10-10 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 67.7% | 64.3% |
| Break % | 44.4% | 29.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
H2H · Alejandro Garcia 1 – 0 Luis Garcia Paez (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alejandro Garcia 1–0 Luis Garcia Paez
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09/24 M15 Madrid | 2-1 | 26-24 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alejandro Garcia
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Alexander Petrov M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
2-1 | 9-6 | W |
| 09/09 | Ignacio Parisca Romera M25 Gijon |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Ivan Lopez Martos M25 Gijon |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 04/09 | Pedro Rodenas M15 Madrid |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez M15 Madrid |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/09 | Xavi Palomar M15 Madrid |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 26/08 | Pedro Rodenas M25 Oviedo |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 25/08 | Javier Barranco Cosano M25 Oviedo |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 24/08 | Nicolas Rafael Goldberg Alviani M25 Oviedo |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/08 | Marc Ros Mesas M25 Oviedo |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Luis Garcia Paez
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/07 | Sergi Perez Contri M25 Gandia |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 29/06 | Mario Arce Fernandez M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Karlo Filip Jukic M25 Montauban · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/06 | Oscar Jose Gutierrez M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Jordi Garcia Mestre M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-7 | W |
| 14/06 | Maximo Nagele M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 21/05 | Robert Watzka M25 Mataro · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 19/05 | Mae Malige M25 Mataro · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alejandro Garcia vs Luis Garcia Paez?
Our model gives 64% to Alejandro Garcia, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.