Tennis · ATP Hangzhou · 23/09, 07:30
Prediction: Bernard Tomic vs Fajing Sun
Team pages: Bernard Tomic · Fajing Sun
Prediction summary
Winner
Bernard Tomic
Fajing Sun
Estimated games
24
Recent form · 10 last
Bernard Tomic
5-5 (W-L)
Fajing Sun
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bernard Tomic 1546 · Fajing Sun 1524
| Bernard Tomic | Fajing Sun | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Bernard Tomic | Fajing Sun | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.3-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-11.3 | 13.8-13.2 |
| Aces | 8 | 4.8 |
| Double faults | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 76.9% | 69.4% |
| Break % | 33.8% | 44.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bernard Tomic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Rigele Te ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 19/09 | Pavel Kotov Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 18/09 | Alexandr Binda Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/09 | Jake Delaney Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/09 | Yuta Kikuchi Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 10/09 | Ilya Ivashka Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 08/09 | Akira Santillan Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 03/09 | Kasidit Samrej Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 01/09 | Masamichi Imamura Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 25/08 | Lloyd Harris US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
Fajing Sun
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Matthew Dellavedova ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 17/09 | Alexandr Binda Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 15/09 | Alexis Galarneau Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 08/09 | Jie Cui Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 04/09 | Chun Hsin Tseng Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Hanyi Liu Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 31/08 | Tung-Lin Wu Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 14/08 | Hayato Matsuoka Challenger Astana · Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 12/08 | Semen Pankin Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 11/08 | Zangar Nurlanuly Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bernard Tomic vs Fajing Sun?
Our model gives 59% to Bernard Tomic, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.