Tennis · ATP Hangzhou · 23/09, 07:30
Prediction: Dalibor Svrcina vs Rio Noguchi
Team pages: Dalibor Svrcina · Rio Noguchi
Prediction summary
Winner
Dalibor Svrcina
Rio Noguchi
Estimated games
24Bet365 line 19.5
Recent form · 10 last
Dalibor Svrcina
6-4 (W-L)
Rio Noguchi
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Dalibor Svrcina
3–0
Rio Noguchi
(3 last)
- 26 Sept2-0 13-9W
- 29 May2-0 12-7W
- 16 Jul2-0 12-7W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dalibor Svrcina 1526 · Rio Noguchi 1508
| Dalibor Svrcina | Rio Noguchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Dalibor Svrcina 3–0 Rio Noguchi (3).
- Note: Dalibor Svrcina makes many double faults (7.7/match).
Statistics
| Dalibor Svrcina | Rio Noguchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.4 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.5-13.9 | 11-11 |
| Aces | 5.1 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 7.7 | 0.9 |
| 1st serve % | 66.9% | 71.3% |
| Break % | 46.1% | 44.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24 · Bet365 line 19.5 · +4.5
Over 19.5: 78% · 1.72
Under 19.5: 22% · 2.00
H2H · Dalibor Svrcina 3 – 0 Rio Noguchi (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dalibor Svrcina 3–0 Rio Noguchi
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09/24 Challenger Nonthaburi | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/05/23 Challenger Vicenza | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/07/17 ITF Czech Republic F6 Qual | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dalibor Svrcina
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Philip Sekulic ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/09 | Luciano Darderi US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 18-24 | L |
| 31/08 | Valentin Royer US Open · Hard |
3-2 | 28-23 | W |
| 28/08 | Mackenzie McDonald US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 26/08 | Alexis Galarneau US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/08 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/08 | Stan Wawrinka Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 13/08 | Mark Lajal ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 01/08 | Titouan Droguet ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 31/07 | Denis Shapovalov ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Rio Noguchi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Masamichi Imamura ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/09 | Pavel Kotov Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 16/09 | Colin Sinclair Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/09 | Kaichi Uchida Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 09/09 | Omar Jasika Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 07/09 | Rigele Te Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/08 | Bu Yunchaokete US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 19/08 | Alan Magadan Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/08 | Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 24/07 | Charles Broom Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dalibor Svrcina vs Rio Noguchi?
Our model gives 68% to Dalibor Svrcina, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.