Tennis · M15 Curitiba · 23/09, 15:00
Prediction: Rafael Tosetto vs Jefferson Wendler Filho
Team pages: Rafael Tosetto · Jefferson Wendler Filho
Prediction summary
Winner
Rafael Tosetto
Jefferson Wendler Filho
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Rafael Tosetto
6-4 (W-L)
Jefferson Wendler Filho
2-8 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Rafael Tosetto
3–0
Jefferson Wendler Filho
(3 last)
- 16 Sept2-0 11-7W
- 05 Apr2-1 14-8W
- 21 Mar2-0 12-3W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rafael Tosetto 1528 · Jefferson Wendler Filho 1437
| Rafael Tosetto | Jefferson Wendler Filho | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rafael Tosetto (rating 1528 vs 1437).
- Rafael Tosetto is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Rafael Tosetto 3–0 Jefferson Wendler Filho (3).
- Note: Jefferson Wendler Filho makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Rafael Tosetto | Jefferson Wendler Filho | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 20% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (1) | 29% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.8 | 0.5-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.5-9.3 | 7.2-11.1 |
| Aces | 3.6 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 2 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 68.5% | 59.6% |
| Break % | 40% | 23.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
H2H · Rafael Tosetto 3 – 0 Jefferson Wendler Filho (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Rafael Tosetto 3–0 Jefferson Wendler Filho
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09/26 M15 Belem | 2-0 | 11-7 | W |
| 05/04/26 Challenger Campinas | 2-1 | 14-8 | W |
| 21/03/24 ITF M25 Maceio | 2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rafael Tosetto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Livas Eduardo De Carvalho Damazio M15 Belem |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 16/09 | Jefferson Wendler Filho M15 Belem |
2-0 | 11-7 | W |
| 12/09 | Mateus Alves M15 Leme |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/09 | Joao Goncalves M15 Leme |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 11/09 | Pedro Rodrigues Longobardi M15 Leme |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/09 | Mateus Alves M15 Porto Velho |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/09 | Enzo Crevelaro M15 Porto Velho |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 03/09 | Lucas Zancheta M15 Porto Velho |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 02/09 | Lucca C Pignaton M15 Porto Velho |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/08 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Jefferson Wendler Filho
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Rafael Tosetto M15 Belem |
0-2 | 7-11 | L |
| 10/09 | Gabriel Schenekenberg M15 Leme |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Alex Hernandez M15 Brasilia |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 21/05 | Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Felipe De Dios M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 14/05 | Mateus Alves M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/05 | Eric Martins M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/04 | Rafael Tosetto Challenger Campinas · Clay |
1-2 | 8-14 | L |
| 29/03 | Daniel Antonio Nunez Challenger Sao Leopoldo · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/03 | Daniel Cukierman Challenger Sao Paulo · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rafael Tosetto vs Jefferson Wendler Filho?
Our model gives 71% to Rafael Tosetto, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.