Tennis · M15 Curitiba · 24/09, 22:00
Prediction: Joao Goncalves vs Pedro Sakamoto
Team pages: Joao Goncalves · Pedro Sakamoto
Prediction summary
Winner
Joao Goncalves
Pedro Sakamoto
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Joao Goncalves
5-5 (W-L)
Pedro Sakamoto
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Joao Goncalves 1506 · Pedro Sakamoto 1564
| Joao Goncalves | Pedro Sakamoto | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pedro Sakamoto (rating 1506 vs 1564).
Statistics
| Joao Goncalves | Pedro Sakamoto | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (3) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-9.4 | 11.7-8.6 |
| Aces | 4 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 72.8% | 70.2% |
| Break % | 51.1% | 64.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Joao Goncalves
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Eric Von Marton Martins M15 Curitiba |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/09 | Nicolas Zanellato M15 Belem |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 16/09 | Ignacio Antonio Becerra Otarola M15 Belem |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/09 | Rafael Tosetto M15 Leme |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 11/09 | Ryan Dickerson M15 Leme |
2-1 | 9-8 | W |
| 10/09 | Joao Cunha Cunha M15 Leme |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/08 | Aidan Mayo Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/05 | Adhithya Ganesan M25 Pensacola · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/05 | Ryan Colby M15 Vero Beach · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 06/05 | Youssef Kadiri Hassani M15 Vero Beach · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Pedro Sakamoto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Kaua Lorenzo Santos Gava M15 Curitiba |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 18/09 | Juan Sebastian Osorio M15 Belem |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 17/09 | Vitor Machado De Melo Cunha M15 Belem |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 16/09 | Thomas Enrique Menzel Piccioli M15 Belem |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/09 | Mateus Alves M15 Leme |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/09 | Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto M15 Leme |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 11/09 | Nicolas Zanellato M15 Leme |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/09 | Pedro Dietrich M15 Leme |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 09/09 | Breno Braga M15 Leme |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 04/08 | Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida M25 Londrina |
0-1 | 3-6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Joao Goncalves vs Pedro Sakamoto?
Our model gives 60% to Pedro Sakamoto, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.