Tennis · WTA Tolentino · 23/09, 10:00
Prediction: Noemi Basiletti vs Mia Ristic
Team pages: Noemi Basiletti · Mia Ristic
Prediction summary
Winner
Noemi Basiletti
Mia Ristic
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Noemi Basiletti
8-2 (W-L)
Mia Ristic
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Noemi Basiletti
0–1
Mia Ristic
(1 last)
- 15 Jun0-2 5-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Noemi Basiletti 1568 · Mia Ristic 1582
| Noemi Basiletti | Mia Ristic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Noemi Basiletti 0–1 Mia Ristic (1).
Statistics
| Noemi Basiletti | Mia Ristic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (5) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.4 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-8.5 | 11.3-10.1 |
| Aces | 0.1 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 0.7 |
| 1st serve % | 59.4% | 63.4% |
| Break % | 64.6% | 39.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
H2H · Noemi Basiletti 0 – 1 Mia Ristic (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Noemi Basiletti 0–1 Mia Ristic
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/06/26 WTA Brescia | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Noemi Basiletti
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | Laura Samsonova WTA Tolentino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/09 | Mona Barthel WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/09 | Ekaterine Gorgodze WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/09 | Julie Struplova WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/09 | Lola Radivojevic WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 09/08 | Barbora Palicova W75 Koksijde |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 08/08 | Loes Ebeling Koning W75 Koksijde |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/08 | Martha Matoula W75 Koksijde |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 05/08 | Jenny Lim W75 Koksijde |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/08 | Marie Weckerle W75 Koksijde |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Mia Ristic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | Arantxa Rus WTA Tolentino · Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 18/09 | Mona Barthel WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Miriam Bulgaru WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/09 | Martina Colmegna WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 07/09 | Lina Gjorcheska WTA Antalya · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Himeno Sakatsume US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Francisca Jorge US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/08 | Ayana Akli US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 16/08 | Rositsa Dencheva W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 15/08 | Matilde Paoletti W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Noemi Basiletti vs Mia Ristic?
Our model gives 56% to Mia Ristic, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.