Tennis · M25 Pardubice · 22/09, 10:00
Prediction: Stepan Baum vs Martin Soukal
Team pages: Stepan Baum · Martin Soukal
Prediction summary
Winner
Stepan Baum
Martin Soukal
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Stepan Baum
9-1 (W-L)
Martin Soukal
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Stepan Baum 1607 · Martin Soukal 1499
| Stepan Baum | Martin Soukal | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 35% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stepan Baum (rating 1607 vs 1499).
- Stepan Baum is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Stepan Baum | Martin Soukal | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 100% (6) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.3 | 1.2-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-5.6 | 11-12.4 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 60.3% | 47.3% |
| Break % | 75% | 43.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stepan Baum
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Dominik Recek UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/09 | Thiago Pernas UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/09 | Karim Al-Amin UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 17/09 | Yan Sabanin UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 15/09 | Sebastian Prechtel UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 14/09 | Felix Einig UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 29/08 | John Sperle M15 Pecs |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Filip Drab M15 Pecs |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/08 | Attila Dominik Boros M15 Pecs |
2-0 | 9-5 | W |
| 26/08 | Adam Gabor Szoke M15 Pecs |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Martin Soukal
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Jakub Jedrzejczak M15 Lodz |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 03/06 | Vladyslav Orlov M15 Szentendre · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Adam Soukup M15 Szentendre · ~Clay |
2-1 | 10-10 | W |
| 14/12 | Peter Alam UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet |
2-1 | 20-18 | W |
| 13/12 | Louis Van Herck UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/12 | Oleksandr Guriev Jr UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 10/12 | Alberto Perez Mellado UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 09/12 | Matthew Carroll UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 08/12 | Bartosz Wojnar UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/11 | Nav Dayal M25 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stepan Baum vs Martin Soukal?
Our model gives 73% to Stepan Baum, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.