Tennis · M15 Forbach · 22/09, 12:00
Prediction: Matteo Covato vs Victor Barrere
Team pages: Matteo Covato · Victor Barrere
Prediction summary
Winner
Matteo Covato
Victor Barrere
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Matteo Covato
1-9 (W-L)
Victor Barrere
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matteo Covato 1358 · Victor Barrere 1464
| Matteo Covato | Victor Barrere | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 65% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Victor Barrere (rating 1358 vs 1464).
- Victor Barrere is in better form: 40% recent wins.
Statistics
| Matteo Covato | Victor Barrere | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 0% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (3) | 29% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.2-2 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.1-12.9 | 8.6-10.2 |
| Aces | 4.6 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 60.4% | 63.3% |
| Break % | 19.4% | 45.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matteo Covato
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Izan Almazan Valiente Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Leo Raquillet Challenger Cassis · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Fausto Tabacco Challenger Como · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 26/08 | Luca Wiedenmann M25 Oldenzaal |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Denis Yevseyev M25 Ueberlingen |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Adrien Berrut M25 Muttenz |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 29/07 | Joshua Peck M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Oliver Sanders M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/07 | Jesse Delaney Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Justin Schlageter M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-11 | L |
Victor Barrere
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | Sacha Grandvincent M15 Forbach |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/09 | Matiej Reiter M15 Forbach |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 19/04 | Antoni Fabre M25 Angers · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 22/03 | James Beaven M25 Saint Dizier · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-10 | L |
| 02/03 | Mathys Picard M15 Poitiers · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/03 | Pierre Ngijol Carre M15 Poitiers · ~Hard |
2-1 | 12-11 | W |
| 22/02 | Philip Henning Challenger St Brieuc · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/02 | Arthur Nagel M15 Lannion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 18/02 | Timeo Trufelli M15 Lannion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/02 | Maksim Shin UTR Pro Dubai · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matteo Covato vs Victor Barrere?
Our model gives 57% to Victor Barrere, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.