Tennis · M15 Forbach · 26/09, 15:30
Prediction: Arthur Nagel vs Flynn Thomas
Team pages: Arthur Nagel · Flynn Thomas
Prediction summary
Winner
Arthur Nagel
Flynn Thomas
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Arthur Nagel
8-2 (W-L)
Flynn Thomas
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Arthur Nagel 1534 · Flynn Thomas 1531
| Arthur Nagel | Flynn Thomas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Flynn Thomas makes many double faults (5.9/match).
Statistics
| Arthur Nagel | Flynn Thomas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (4) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-10 | 10.4-8.8 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 5.9 |
| 1st serve % | 70.8% | 68.5% |
| Break % | 42.8% | 47% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Arthur Nagel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Timeo Trufelli M15 Forbach |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/09 | Paul Theate M15 Forbach |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/09 | Remy Dugardin M15 Forbach |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 16/09 | Francesco Maestrelli Challenger Rennes · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 09/09 | Maximilian Figl M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 04/09 | Yassine Dlimi M25 Casablanca · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 03/09 | Diogo Morais M25 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/09 | Petros Tsitsipas M25 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/08 | Tim Handel M25 Ueberlingen |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/08 | Daniel Masur M25 Ueberlingen |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
Flynn Thomas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Theo Herrmann M15 Forbach |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 24/09 | Fons Van Sambeek M15 Forbach |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 23/09 | Damien Clerc M15 Forbach |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/08 | Kai Wehnelt M25 Muttenz |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Hernan Casanova M25 Muttenz |
2-0 | 8-4 | W |
| 29/07 | Nazim Makhlouf M15 Strasbourg |
1-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger Zug · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Lambert Ruland M25 Kramsach |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Fares Zakaria M25 Kramsach |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 14/07 | Felix Raser M25 Kramsach |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Arthur Nagel vs Flynn Thomas?
Our model gives 65% to Arthur Nagel, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.