Tennis · M15 Forbach · 24/09, 10:00
Prediction: Arthur Nagel vs Paul Theate
Team pages: Arthur Nagel · Paul Theate
Prediction summary
Winner
Arthur Nagel
Paul Theate
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Arthur Nagel
8-2 (W-L)
Paul Theate
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Arthur Nagel 1533 · Paul Theate 1503
| Arthur Nagel | Paul Theate | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 90% | 10% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Arthur Nagel | Paul Theate | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (4) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-10 | 10.6-9.2 |
| Aces | 2 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 68.8% | 67.3% |
| Break % | 45.5% | 45.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Arthur Nagel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Remy Dugardin M15 Forbach |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 16/09 | Francesco Maestrelli Challenger Rennes · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 09/09 | Maximilian Figl M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 04/09 | Yassine Dlimi M25 Casablanca · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 03/09 | Diogo Morais M25 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/09 | Petros Tsitsipas M25 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/08 | Tim Handel M25 Ueberlingen |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/08 | Daniel Masur M25 Ueberlingen |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 22/08 | Jannik Maute M25 Ueberlingen |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/08 | Laurens Harnoth Manrubia M25 Ueberlingen |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Paul Theate
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Arthur Lenglet M15 Forbach |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 14/09 | Yannis Batsabaken M25 Nevers |
1-2 | 12-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Stefan Seifert M25 Plaisir |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Yanis Peterhans M25 Plaisir |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 06/09 | Jack McGary M25 Plaisir |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/08 | Martin Simon M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Justin Lenders M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/07 | Gustavo Masiero M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 22/06 | Louis Boilevin M25 Montauban · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/06 | Gerard Campana Lee Challenger Royan · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Arthur Nagel vs Paul Theate?
Our model gives 74% to Arthur Nagel, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.