Tennis · M15 Forbach · 25/09, 13:00
Prediction: Arthur Nagel vs Timeo Trufelli
Team pages: Arthur Nagel · Timeo Trufelli
Prediction summary
Winner
Arthur Nagel
Timeo Trufelli
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Arthur Nagel
8-2 (W-L)
Timeo Trufelli
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Arthur Nagel 1536 · Timeo Trufelli 1507
| Arthur Nagel | Timeo Trufelli | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 83% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Arthur Nagel | Timeo Trufelli | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (4) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-10 | 10.4-10.8 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 5.2 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 70.1% | 70.4% |
| Break % | 42.8% | 34.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Arthur Nagel
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Paul Theate M15 Forbach |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/09 | Remy Dugardin M15 Forbach |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 16/09 | Francesco Maestrelli Challenger Rennes · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 09/09 | Maximilian Figl M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 04/09 | Yassine Dlimi M25 Casablanca · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 03/09 | Diogo Morais M25 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/09 | Petros Tsitsipas M25 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/08 | Tim Handel M25 Ueberlingen |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/08 | Daniel Masur M25 Ueberlingen |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 22/08 | Jannik Maute M25 Ueberlingen |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Timeo Trufelli
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Louis Van Herck M15 Forbach |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 22/09 | Attila Hueller-Varga M15 Forbach |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 16/09 | Hugo Car M25 Nevers |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 07/09 | Antoine Walch M25 Plaisir |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Matiej Reiter M25 Plaisir |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 06/09 | Evan Jarzaguet M25 Plaisir |
2-1 | 11-9 | W |
| 26/08 | Liam Branger M15 Cap d'Agde |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 04/08 | Massimo Giunta M25 Fano |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Leonardo Angeloni M25 Fano |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 28/07 | Theo Papamalamis M15 Strasbourg |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Arthur Nagel vs Timeo Trufelli?
Our model gives 70% to Arthur Nagel, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.